Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.125445 0.147321 0.171458 0.200003 0.232780 0.269172 0.312574
2025-11-16 0.086290 0.114772 0.149768 0.195643 0.253872 0.324960 0.417925
2025-11-23 0.063857 0.093379 0.132715 0.188353 0.264294 0.363489 0.501860
2025-11-30 0.054979 0.086749 0.131896 0.199673 0.297525 0.432094 0.629166
2025-12-07 0.044024 0.074605 0.120750 0.193927 0.305107 0.465256 0.710173
2025-12-14 0.035668 0.064593 0.110721 0.187624 0.309971 0.493651 0.785549
2025-12-21 0.029569 0.056975 0.102982 0.183284 0.316505 0.524110 0.865554
2025-12-28 0.026013 0.053005 0.100442 0.186681 0.335111 0.574059 0.978908
2026-01-04 0.023542 0.050515 0.099961 0.193253 0.359255 0.634410 1.113147
2026-01-11 0.021098 0.047615 0.098259 0.197286 0.379191 0.689189 1.242248
2026-01-18 0.018738 0.044446 0.095550 0.199011 0.394985 0.737960 1.364670
2026-01-25 0.016380 0.040839 0.091446 0.197481 0.404485 0.776302 1.471705
2026-02-01 0.014088 0.037015 0.086470 0.193847 0.410078 0.808924 1.572739
2026-02-08 0.012138 0.033606 0.081871 0.190410 0.415721 0.842200 1.677864
2026-02-15 0.010215 0.029857 0.075941 0.183353 0.413301 0.860043 1.755762
2026-02-22 0.009792 0.029815 0.078313 0.194406 0.448660 0.952178 1.978862
2026-03-01 0.008376 0.026859 0.073462 0.188798 0.448650 0.975599 2.072582
2026-03-08 0.007139 0.024114 0.068668 0.182645 0.446708 0.994796 2.159137
2026-03-15 0.006172 0.021929 0.064914 0.178411 0.448426 1.021319 2.261777
2026-03-22 0.005665 0.021019 0.064310 0.181725 0.467386 1.084769 2.443059
2026-03-29 0.005333 0.020590 0.064924 0.188140 0.494047 1.166275 2.666577
2026-04-05 0.004933 0.019855 0.064589 0.192076 0.515223 1.237489 2.873137
2026-04-12 0.004496 0.018889 0.063451 0.193760 0.531128 1.298302 3.061502